If the current regulations were extended to 2030, the road transport sector in the European Union could significantly reduce well-to-wheel greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from 1,100 Mton (today) to 862 Mton (2030) and reduce emissions to levels targeted by the European Commission (-30% in 2030 vs. 2005). Increasing penetration of optimized internal combustion engines in the fleet could be the major contributor to this reduction. Bringing optimized engines as well as alternative fuel and vehicle technologies to the market is a significant challenge for the oil and auto industry and could account for EUR 380-390 bn of cumulated incremental powertrain costs from 2010 to 2030. These are some of the major findings of an evaluation of fuel and vehicle technologies Roland Berger was commissioned to conduct by a coalition of fuel suppliers and automotive companies* with a view to identifying an Integrated Fuels and Vehicles Roadmap to 2030+ to identify GHG abatement options at the lowest cost to society.
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